Ein weiterer faszinierender Vortrag auf TED: Kevin Kelly stellt fest, dass wir vor 5.000 Tagen alle nicht wussten, was möglich war – The Web. Dann wagt er sich an eine Voraussage, was möglich sein wird:
There is only One machine.
The web is its OS.
All screens look into the One.
No bits will live outside the web.
To share is to gain.
Let the One read it.
The One is us.
Predicting the next 5,000 days of the web
there is no economic model
this is simply all for free: You’re dreaming
we thought it would be TV but even better. That was the model.
Something like Wikipedia was simply impossible
The first lesson of the Web:
Have to get better in believing the impossible.
The next 5,000 days…
We’re simply constructing a single global machine.
It’s the most reliable machine ever made: Zero downtime.
100 billion clicks per day
55 trillion links
It uses 5% of global electricity
traffic: 7 terabytes per second
This is how the Web works: like your brain!
Your brain isn’t doubling in power every 2 years.
Machine = 1 HB (Human Brain)
Machine = 6 billion HB (30 years from now)
2040 The Web will exceed humanity in processing power.
The machine: Embodiment, Re-Structuring, Co-Dependency
The web will own every bit.
Everything will be part of the Web.
The Internet of Things.
Convergence of the atomic and the digital.
One Media Platform, same laws of media.
Copies have no value.
Network effects rule.
1. Linking computers: The Net.
2. Linking pages: The Web.
3. Linking data: The One.
Linking and clicking from one idea to another
The Web will be able to read and understand
The Web will know who are your friends.
Giant Global Graph
4. Linking things: The World ("I think this is where we’re going to")
We’ll don’t even try to remember things – just google it.
But we’re also totally dependant on other technologies – like the alphabet
"What we really want to do at Google is create an AI." – Larry Page, Google co-founder.
We are the Web.
We’re gonna be the Machine.
[ Direktlink TED ]